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Cuban Instability
Tuesday, February 21, 2006   By: Juan Paxety

Cuba added to intelligence list

The US has added Cuba to its short list of unstable countries - countries at risk of instability in the next two to five years - all because of the declining health of fidel castro. The Miami Herald reports

Cuba's inclusion in the classified list is the latest evidence that the U.S. intelligence community is growing increasingly concerned over the consequences of Castro's advancing age and apparently deteriorating health after more than four decades of communist rule over the island.

For more than a year, the CIA has been telling U.S. policymakers that the 79-year-old Castro suffers from Parkinson's, a debilitating neurological ailment that could make it harder for him to govern. His brother and designated successor, Raúl, is only five years younger and is widely reported to be a lifelong heavy drinker.

The paper says there are about two dozen countries on the list, but it does not know the identity of all of the countries.

 And former Polish President and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Lech Walesa recently urged a gathering in Miami last week to ''be prepared'' for the transition with ``well-structured ideas of what to do, because there could be anarchy.''

However, the intelligence community does not think that fidel's death is imminent.


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